Liga de Expansión MX Liga de Expansión MX January 30, 2026
Tapatío

Tapatío

20
FT
Leones Negros UDG

Leones Negros UDG

We predicted

0-0 63% confidence
View full match details Friday, January 30 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 63%
Most Likely Scores
0-0
67.0%
1.49
0-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
13.4%
7.46
1-1
2.7%
37.31
Both Teams To Score
YES 3% · 30.4
NO 97% · 1.03
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Tapatío 15% · 6.61
Draw 70% · 1.43
Leones Negros UDG 15% · 6.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
99%
Over 1% · 100.0 Under 99% · 1.01
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
94%
Over 6% · 16.23 Under 94% · 1.07
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
100%
Over 0% · 100.0 Under 100% · 1.0

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Key Stats Comparison

Tapatío
Stat
Leones Negros UDG
0.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlante FC Atlante FC
14 9 3 2 +25 30
2
Cancún Cancún
14 9 3 2 +18 30
3
CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero
14 8 6 0 +9 30
4
Irapuato Irapuato
14 6 5 3 +4 23
5
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
14 5 6 3 +2 21
6
Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG A
14 6 3 5 +2 21
7
Monarcas Monarcas
14 5 4 5 -2 19
8
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
14 4 6 4 +5 18
9
Venados FC Venados FC
14 5 3 6 -1 18
10
CA La Paz CA La Paz
14 4 5 5 -5 17
11
Tapatío Tapatío H
14 4 3 7 +2 15
12
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
14 3 5 6 -13 14
13
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
14 3 4 7 -9 13
14
Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat
14 2 4 8 -19 10
15
Dorados Dorados
14 1 2 11 -18 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record