National League National League March 14, 2026
Tamworth

Tamworth

21
FT
Carlisle

Carlisle

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Tamworth
Rank#11
Played37
Points45
PPG1.22
Goal Diff-14
L L L W W
Carlisle
3#Rank
37Played
75Points
2.03PPG
24Goal Diff
W D W L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.28
1-2
8.8%
11.42
2-1
8.0%
12.48
Carlisle 4+
7.7%
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.61
NO 38% · 2.64
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Tamworth 25% · 3.99
Draw 32% · 3.1
Carlisle 43% · 2.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67 Under 40% · 2.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.45
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.66 Under 62% · 1.6

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Tamworth Tamworth
L L L W W
Carlisle Carlisle
W D W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Tamworth
Stat
Carlisle
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.63
#11
League Pos.
#3
45 pts
Points
75 pts
1.22
Points / Game
2.03
-14
Goal Diff.
+24

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Tamworth
Draw
Carlisle
6 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rochdale Rochdale
37 29 4 4 +46 91
2
York York
38 27 8 3 +64 89
3
Carlisle Carlisle A
38 23 6 9 +23 75
4
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
38 21 8 9 +25 71
5
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
37 19 10 8 +14 67
6
Forest Green Forest Green
38 18 11 9 +17 65
7
FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town
38 17 8 13 +4 59
8
Southend Southend
35 16 10 9 +25 58
9
Hartlepool Hartlepool
37 14 12 11 +3 54
10
Wealdstone Wealdstone
36 13 9 14 -6 48
11
Tamworth Tamworth H
38 13 9 16 -13 48
12
Boston United Boston United
38 12 11 15 -5 47
13
Woking Woking
35 12 10 13 +8 46
14
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
36 11 10 15 -1 43
15
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
38 10 13 15 -10 43
16
Altrincham Altrincham
37 13 4 20 -12 43
17
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
37 12 6 19 -9 42
18
Eastleigh Eastleigh
38 11 9 18 -19 42
19
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
36 12 5 19 -14 41
20
Brackley Town Brackley Town
37 9 9 19 -23 36
21
Morecambe Morecambe
38 8 10 20 -23 34
22
Braintree Braintree
38 8 10 20 -28 34
23
Gateshead Gateshead
37 9 7 21 -35 34
24
Truro City Truro City
37 6 7 24 -31 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record