Championship Championship March 7, 2026
Swansea

Swansea

20
FT
Stoke City

Stoke City

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Swansea
Rank#16
Played35
Points46
PPG1.31
Goal Diff-3
L D W L W
Stoke City
14#Rank
35Played
47Points
1.34PPG
5Goal Diff
L W D L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.0%
6.24
1-1
12.5%
8.01
0-0
11.8%
8.47
2-0
10.9%
9.19
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.49
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Swansea 34% · 2.92
Draw 35% · 2.87
Stoke City 31% · 3.24
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.78 Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.7
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 5.95 Under 83% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Swansea Swansea
L D W L W
Stoke City Stoke City
L W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Swansea
Stat
Stoke City
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#16
League Pos.
#14
46 pts
Points
47 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.34
-3
Goal Diff.
+5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
3 W
Swansea
Draw
Stoke City
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Southampton Southampton
40 18 12 10 +19 66
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City A
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea H
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record