Championship
April 18, 2026
Swansea
14:00
VS
Southampton
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 18 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Swansea
Rank#13
Played36
Points49
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-1
W
L
D
W
L
Southampton
8#Rank
35Played
53Points
1.51PPG
11Goal Diff
W
W
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.67
1-0
10.9%
9.14
0-1
10.7%
9.35
0-0
9.0%
11.15
Both Teams To Score
YES
49% · 2.04
NO
51% · 1.96
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Swansea
26% · 3.83
Draw
35% · 2.89
Southampton
39% · 2.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.48
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Swansea
W
L
D
W
L
Southampton
W
W
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Swansea
Stat
Southampton
1.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#13
League Pos.
#8
49 pts
Points
53 pts
1.36
Points / Game
1.51
-1
Goal Diff.
+11
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Swansea
Draw
Southampton
5
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
A
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
H
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.