Premyer Liqa
April 5, 2026
Sumqayıt
14:00
VS
Neftchi Baku
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Sumqayıt
Rank#7
Played25
Points32
PPG1.28
Goal Diff-2
L
L
D
L
D
Neftchi Baku
6#Rank
24Played
37Points
1.54PPG
17Goal Diff
W
W
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.24
0-1
9.8%
10.17
1-2
9.0%
11.16
1-0
8.2%
12.18
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.83
NO
45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sumqayıt
23% · 4.35
Draw
33% · 3.0
Neftchi Baku
44% · 2.29
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97
Under 49% · 2.03
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.05
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.48
Under 71% · 1.4
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sumqayıt
L
L
D
L
D
Neftchi Baku
W
W
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sumqayıt
Stat
Neftchi Baku
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#7
League Pos.
#6
32 pts
Points
37 pts
1.28
Points / Game
1.54
-2
Goal Diff.
+17
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Sumqayıt
Draw
Neftchi Baku
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sabah FA
|
25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | +43 | 62 |
| 2 |
Qarabag
|
25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +37 | 55 |
| 3 |
Turan
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +15 | 48 |
| 4 |
Zira
|
25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | +6 | 42 |
| 5 |
Neftchi Baku
A
|
25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | +19 | 40 |
| 6 |
Araz
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | -9 | 39 |
| 7 |
Sumqayıt
H
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 |
Şamaxı FK
|
25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 |
Imisli FK
|
25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 |
Kapaz
|
26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -29 | 21 |
| 11 |
Qabala
|
26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -17 | 19 |
| 12 |
Karvan
|
26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | -40 | 8 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.