Ligue 1
May 3, 2026
Strasbourg
15:00
VS
Toulouse
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Strasbourg
Rank#8
Played25
Points36
PPG1.44
Goal Diff9
D
D
W
D
L
Toulouse
12#Rank
25Played
31Points
1.24PPG
4Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.2%
7.06
1-1
11.8%
8.47
2-0
11.2%
8.93
2-1
9.3%
10.73
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.23
NO
55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Strasbourg
51% · 1.96
Draw
33% · 3.02
Toulouse
16% · 6.31
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.31
Under 57% · 1.76
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.44
Under 31% · 3.27
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.48
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Strasbourg
D
D
W
D
L
Toulouse
L
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Strasbourg
Stat
Toulouse
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#8
League Pos.
#12
36 pts
Points
31 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.24
+9
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Strasbourg
Draw
Toulouse
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
H
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
A
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.