Non League Premier - Southern Central
April 6, 2026
Stourbridge
14:00
VS
Alvechurch
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 6 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Stourbridge
Rank#16
Played37
Points42
PPG1.14
Goal Diff-14
L
W
L
W
W
Alvechurch
15#Rank
38Played
45Points
1.18PPG
-6Goal Diff
W
W
D
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.63
2-1
9.1%
10.96
1-0
9.0%
11.16
1-2
7.5%
13.33
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.74
NO
42% · 2.35
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Stourbridge
44% · 2.26
Draw
33% · 3.05
Alvechurch
23% · 4.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83
Under 45% · 2.2
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.54
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.1
Under 68% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Stourbridge
L
W
L
W
W
Alvechurch
W
W
D
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Stourbridge
Stat
Alvechurch
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#16
League Pos.
#15
42 pts
Points
45 pts
1.14
Points / Game
1.18
-14
Goal Diff.
-6
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
0 D
2 W
Stourbridge
Draw
Alvechurch
9
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Harborough Town
|
38 | 26 | 9 | 3 | +42 | 87 |
| 2 |
Spalding United
|
38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | +49 | 80 |
| 3 |
Real Bedford
|
37 | 20 | 9 | 8 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Redditch United
|
37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | +9 | 65 |
| 5 |
Kettering Town
|
37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | +22 | 64 |
| 6 |
Quorn
|
38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | +14 | 64 |
| 7 |
Halesowen Town
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | +20 | 63 |
| 8 |
Needham Market
|
37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | +9 | 60 |
| 9 |
Worcester City
|
38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | +19 | 58 |
| 10 |
Leiston
|
37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | +7 | 55 |
| 11 |
Stratford Town
|
38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | +4 | 54 |
| 12 |
Banbury United
|
37 | 15 | 8 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 13 |
Bury Town
|
38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | +4 | 51 |
| 14 |
Bishop's Stortford
|
38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | -8 | 47 |
| 15 |
Alvechurch
A
|
38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | -6 | 45 |
| 16 |
Stourbridge
H
|
37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | -14 | 42 |
| 17 |
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 |
St Ives Town
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 20 | -23 | 37 |
| 19 |
Stamford
|
37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | -31 | 36 |
| 20 |
Barwell
|
38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | -29 | 32 |
| 21 |
Royston Town
|
38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | -40 | 25 |
| 22 |
AFC Sudbury
|
38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | -55 | 25 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.