Championship Championship March 14, 2026
Stoke City

Stoke City

31
FT
Watford

Watford

We predicted

0-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 3–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Stoke City
Rank#15
Played36
Points47
PPG1.31
Goal Diff3
L L W D L
Watford
9#Rank
35Played
51Points
1.46PPG
4Goal Diff
W L W D L
Most Likely Scores
0-0
17.2%
5.83
1-0
15.4%
6.5
0-1
14.9%
6.72
1-1
13.3%
7.51
Both Teams To Score
YES 34% · 2.92
NO 66% · 1.52
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Stoke City 25% · 4.08
Draw 38% · 2.63
Watford 38% · 2.67
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.86 Under 74% · 1.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9 Under 47% · 2.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
90%
Over 10% · 9.74 Under 90% · 1.11

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Stoke City Stoke City
L L W D L
Watford Watford
W L W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Stoke City
Stat
Watford
0.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#15
League Pos.
#9
47 pts
Points
51 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.46
+3
Goal Diff.
+4

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Wrexham Wrexham
40 17 13 10 +9 64
7
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
8
Derby Derby
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford A
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City H
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record