Championship Championship February 25, 2026
Stoke City

Stoke City

21
FT
Oxford United

Oxford United

We predicted

1-0 28% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, February 25 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Stoke City
Rank#16
Played33
Points44
PPG1.33
Goal Diff5
D L D L D
Oxford United
23#Rank
33Played
29Points
0.88PPG
-16Goal Diff
D L D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.1%
6.2
0-0
14.3%
6.97
1-1
13.2%
7.59
0-1
11.7%
8.54
Both Teams To Score
YES 38% · 2.65
NO 62% · 1.61
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Stoke City 43% · 2.34
Draw 31% · 3.24
Oxford United 26% · 3.79
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.25 Under 69% · 1.44
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.73 Under 42% · 2.37
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
87%
Over 13% · 7.55 Under 87% · 1.15

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Stoke City Stoke City
D L D L D
Oxford United Oxford United
D L D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Stoke City
Stat
Oxford United
1.13
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#16
League Pos.
#23
44 pts
Points
29 pts
1.33
Points / Game
0.88
+5
Goal Diff.
-16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
39 24 8 7 +41 80
2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
39 20 11 8 +22 71
3
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
4
Millwall Millwall
39 20 9 10 +9 69
5
Hull City Hull City
39 20 6 13 +5 66
6
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
7
Wrexham Wrexham
39 17 12 10 +9 63
8
Derby Derby
39 17 9 13 +8 60
9
Watford Watford
39 14 14 11 +4 56
10
Norwich Norwich
39 16 6 17 +6 54
11
Birmingham Birmingham
39 14 11 14 -1 53
12
QPR QPR
39 15 8 16 -6 53
13
Preston Preston
39 13 13 13 -4 52
14
Swansea Swansea
39 15 7 17 -5 52
15
Stoke City Stoke City H
39 14 9 16 +3 51
16
Bristol City Bristol City
39 14 9 16 -1 51
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
39 15 5 19 +0 50
18
Charlton Charlton
39 12 12 15 -10 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
39 11 10 18 -13 43
20
West Brom West Brom
39 11 10 18 -14 43
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
38 10 10 18 -17 40
22
Leicester Leicester
39 11 12 16 -9 39
23
Oxford United Oxford United A
39 9 12 18 -15 39
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
39 1 9 29 -55 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record