Championship
April 21, 2026
Stoke City
18:45
VS
Millwall
Predicted score
1-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, April 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Stoke City
Rank#15
Played36
Points47
PPG1.31
Goal Diff3
L
L
W
D
L
Millwall
3#Rank
36Played
65Points
1.81PPG
9Goal Diff
W
W
W
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.5%
7.41
1-0
13.5%
7.42
0-1
12.4%
8.06
0-0
12.4%
8.08
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.38
NO
58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Stoke City
26% · 3.8
Draw
36% · 2.78
Millwall
38% · 2.66
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.88
Under 65% · 1.53
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62
Under 38% · 2.61
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.29
Under 84% · 1.19
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Stoke City
L
L
W
D
L
Millwall
W
W
W
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Stoke City
Stat
Millwall
1.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.0
#15
League Pos.
#3
47 pts
Points
65 pts
1.31
Points / Game
1.81
+3
Goal Diff.
+9
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
2 D
3 W
Stoke City
Draw
Millwall
6
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
A
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
H
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.