Derde Divisie - Saturday Derde Divisie - Saturday March 28, 2026
Sportlust '46

Sportlust '46

30
FT
Excelsior '31

Excelsior '31

We predicted

Sportlust '46 4+ 37% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sportlust '46 4+
|
Actual 3–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Sportlust '46
Rank#7
Played27
Points42
PPG1.56
Goal Diff7
L W L D D
Excelsior '31
13#Rank
27Played
32Points
1.19PPG
-6Goal Diff
W W L L D
Most Likely Scores
Sportlust '46 4+
13.1%
1-1
9.9%
10.1
2-1
9.8%
10.24
1-0
8.0%
12.44
Both Teams To Score
YES 61% · 1.64
NO 39% · 2.56
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sportlust '46 51% · 1.97
Draw 31% · 3.21
Excelsior '31 18% · 5.5
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.63
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.21 Under 17% · 5.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.53 Under 60% · 1.66

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sportlust '46 Sportlust '46
L W L D D
Excelsior '31 Excelsior '31
W W L L D

Key Stats Comparison

Sportlust '46
Stat
Excelsior '31
1.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#7
League Pos.
#13
42 pts
Points
32 pts
1.56
Points / Game
1.19
+7
Goal Diff.
-6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record