Segunda División
March 15, 2026
Sporting Gijon
20:00
VS
Castellón
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Sporting Gijon
Rank#9
Played29
Points42
PPG1.45
Goal Diff1
L
D
D
D
W
Castellón
3#Rank
29Played
49Points
1.69PPG
15Goal Diff
L
L
D
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.33
1-0
9.3%
10.72
2-1
8.9%
11.3
0-1
8.2%
12.27
Both Teams To Score
YES
56% · 1.79
NO
44% · 2.26
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sporting Gijon
29% · 3.46
Draw
33% · 3.01
Castellón
38% · 2.64
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92
Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31
Under 24% · 4.2
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.35
Under 70% · 1.43
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sporting Gijon
L
D
D
D
W
Castellón
L
L
D
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sporting Gijon
Stat
Castellón
1.47
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#9
League Pos.
#3
42 pts
Points
49 pts
1.45
Points / Game
1.69
+1
Goal Diff.
+15
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Sporting Gijon
Draw
Castellón
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Racing Santander
|
29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 56 |
| 2 |
Almeria
|
29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +16 | 52 |
| 3 |
Castellón
A
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +15 | 49 |
| 4 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 |
| 5 |
Las Palmas
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +16 | 48 |
| 6 |
Malaga
|
29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 7 |
Burgos
|
29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | +6 | 46 |
| 8 |
AD Ceuta FC
|
29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 44 |
| 9 |
Sporting Gijon
H
|
29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | +1 | 42 |
| 10 |
Eibar
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 41 |
| 11 |
Cordoba
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | +0 | 41 |
| 12 |
FC Andorra
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 |
Cadiz
|
30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | -5 | 38 |
| 14 |
Real Sociedad II
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | +1 | 37 |
| 15 |
Albacete
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 |
Granada CF
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 17 |
Leganes
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | +0 | 34 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 20 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -20 | 27 |
| 21 |
Zaragoza
|
29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 |
Mirandes
|
30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | -21 | 24 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.