Primeira Liga
May 3, 2026
Sporting CP
16:00
VS
Guimaraes
Predicted score
Sporting CP 4+
54% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 3 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
54%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played25
Points62
PPG2.48
Goal Diff50
D
W
W
W
D
Guimaraes
9#Rank
25Played
32Points
1.28PPG
-9Goal Diff
L
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
29.0%
2-0
15.2%
6.58
3-0
14.2%
7.06
1-0
10.9%
9.2
Both Teams To Score
YES
35% · 2.82
NO
65% · 1.55
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sporting CP
71% · 1.41
Draw
27% · 3.76
Guimaraes
2% · 40.16
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.6
Under 37% · 2.67
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 6.02
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.51
Under 60% · 1.66
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sporting CP
D
W
W
W
D
Guimaraes
L
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Sporting CP
Stat
Guimaraes
2.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.48
#2
League Pos.
#9
62 pts
Points
32 pts
2.48
Points / Game
1.28
+50
Goal Diff.
-9
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Sporting CP
Draw
Guimaraes
21
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | +43 | 72 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
H
|
26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | +53 | 65 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +11 | 45 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Moreirense
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Guimaraes
A
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 |
Rio Ave
|
27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 |
Alverca
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Nacional
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | -40 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.