Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 15, 2026
Sporting CP

Sporting CP

10
FT
Famalicao

Famalicao

We predicted

Sporting CP 4+ 30% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sporting CP 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 30%
Team Context
Sporting CP
Rank#2
Played21
Points52
PPG2.48
Goal Diff43
D W W W D
Famalicao
6#Rank
21Played
32Points
1.52PPG
7Goal Diff
W L W W L
Most Likely Scores
Sporting CP 4+
14.4%
2-0
13.8%
7.27
1-0
13.6%
7.37
2-1
9.4%
10.67
Both Teams To Score
YES 43% · 2.33
NO 57% · 1.75
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sporting CP 69% · 1.45
Draw 20% · 5.09
Famalicao 11% · 8.71
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.04
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.51 Under 72% · 1.4

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sporting CP Sporting CP
D W W W D
Famalicao Famalicao
W L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Sporting CP
Stat
Famalicao
2.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.68
#2
League Pos.
#6
52 pts
Points
32 pts
2.48
Points / Game
1.52
+43
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP H
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao A
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record