National League National League March 17, 2026
Southend

Southend

32
FT
Rochdale

Rochdale

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Southend
Rank#8
Played35
Points58
PPG1.66
Goal Diff25
W D D D L
Rochdale
1#Rank
37Played
91Points
2.46PPG
46Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.5%
8.03
1-0
9.8%
10.22
0-1
9.2%
10.92
2-1
8.5%
11.81
Both Teams To Score
YES 54% · 1.87
NO 46% · 2.15
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Southend 27% · 3.66
Draw 34% · 2.97
Rochdale 39% · 2.57
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.04 Under 51% · 1.96
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.83
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.7 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Southend Southend
W D D D L
Rochdale Rochdale
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

Southend
Stat
Rochdale
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#8
League Pos.
#1
58 pts
Points
91 pts
1.66
Points / Game
2.46
+25
Goal Diff.
+46

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
1 D
1 W
Southend
Draw
Rochdale
18 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Rochdale Rochdale A
38 29 4 5 +45 91
2
York York
38 27 8 3 +64 89
3
Carlisle Carlisle
38 23 6 9 +23 75
4
Boreham Wood Boreham Wood
38 21 8 9 +25 71
5
Scunthorpe Scunthorpe
38 20 10 8 +15 70
6
Forest Green Forest Green
38 18 11 9 +17 65
7
Southend Southend H
36 17 10 9 +26 61
8
FC Halifax Town FC Halifax Town
38 17 8 13 +4 59
9
Hartlepool Hartlepool
37 14 12 11 +3 54
10
Woking Woking
36 13 10 13 +9 49
11
Wealdstone Wealdstone
37 13 9 15 -7 48
12
Tamworth Tamworth
38 13 9 16 -13 48
13
Boston United Boston United
38 12 11 15 -5 47
14
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
37 11 11 15 -1 44
15
Sutton Utd Sutton Utd
38 10 13 15 -10 43
16
Altrincham Altrincham
37 13 4 20 -12 43
17
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
37 12 6 19 -9 42
18
Eastleigh Eastleigh
38 11 9 18 -19 42
19
Yeovil Town Yeovil Town
37 12 5 20 -15 41
20
Brackley Town Brackley Town
38 9 10 19 -23 37
21
Gateshead Gateshead
38 10 7 21 -34 37
22
Morecambe Morecambe
38 8 10 20 -23 34
23
Braintree Braintree
38 8 10 20 -28 34
24
Truro City Truro City
38 6 7 25 -32 25

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record