Championship Championship February 21, 2026
Southampton

Southampton

11
FT
Charlton

Charlton

We predicted

1-0 31% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 31%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#10
Played32
Points46
PPG1.44
Goal Diff4
W W W D W
Charlton
18#Rank
32Played
39Points
1.22PPG
-10Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.3%
6.55
2-0
12.0%
8.3
1-1
11.6%
8.64
0-0
9.7%
10.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.37
NO 58% · 1.73
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Southampton 57% · 1.76
Draw 25% · 3.97
Charlton 18% · 5.58
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.42 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.48 Under 32% · 3.1
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.82 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Southampton Southampton
W W W D W
Charlton Charlton
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Southampton
Stat
Charlton
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.76
#10
League Pos.
#18
46 pts
Points
39 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.22
+4
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Southampton
Draw
Charlton
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
41 25 9 7 +42 84
2
Ipswich Ipswich
39 20 12 7 +29 72
3
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
41 20 12 9 +21 72
4
Millwall Millwall
41 21 9 11 +9 72
5
Hull City Hull City
41 20 8 13 +5 68
6
Southampton Southampton H
40 18 12 10 +19 66
7
Wrexham Wrexham
41 17 13 11 +5 64
8
Derby Derby
41 18 9 14 +9 63
9
Norwich Norwich
41 17 7 17 +7 58
10
Watford Watford
41 14 15 12 +3 57
11
Bristol City Bristol City
41 16 9 16 +1 57
12
QPR QPR
41 16 9 16 -5 57
13
Stoke City Stoke City
41 15 9 17 +3 54
14
Preston Preston
41 13 15 13 -4 54
15
Swansea Swansea
41 15 9 17 -5 54
16
Birmingham Birmingham
41 14 11 16 -3 53
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
41 15 6 20 -1 51
18
Charlton Charlton A
41 12 13 16 -11 49
19
Blackburn Blackburn
41 12 11 18 -12 47
20
West Brom West Brom
41 11 12 18 -14 45
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
40 10 12 18 -17 42
22
Leicester Leicester
41 11 14 16 -9 41
23
Oxford United Oxford United
41 9 14 18 -15 41
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
41 1 10 30 -57 -5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record