Championship
April 21, 2026
Southampton
18:45
VS
Bristol City
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, April 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Southampton
Rank#8
Played35
Points53
PPG1.51
Goal Diff11
W
W
D
W
W
Bristol City
10#Rank
36Played
50Points
1.39PPG
2Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.66
1-1
11.3%
8.82
2-0
11.1%
9.02
2-1
9.6%
10.37
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.11
NO
53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Southampton
52% · 1.92
Draw
32% · 3.09
Bristol City
15% · 6.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.12
Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38
Under 27% · 3.65
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.91
Under 74% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Southampton
W
W
D
W
W
Bristol City
L
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Southampton
Stat
Bristol City
1.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#8
League Pos.
#10
53 pts
Points
50 pts
1.51
Points / Game
1.39
+11
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Southampton
Draw
Bristol City
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coventry
|
39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | +41 | 80 |
| 2 |
Middlesbrough
|
39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | +22 | 71 |
| 3 |
Ipswich
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | +28 | 69 |
| 4 |
Millwall
|
39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | +9 | 69 |
| 5 |
Hull City
|
39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | +5 | 66 |
| 6 |
Southampton
H
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +15 | 63 |
| 7 |
Wrexham
|
39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 63 |
| 8 |
Derby
|
39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | +8 | 60 |
| 9 |
Watford
|
39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | +4 | 56 |
| 10 |
Norwich
|
39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | +6 | 54 |
| 11 |
Birmingham
|
39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 |
QPR
|
39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 |
Preston
|
39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 |
Swansea
|
39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 |
Stoke City
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | +3 | 51 |
| 16 |
Bristol City
A
|
39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 |
Sheffield Utd
|
39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | +0 | 50 |
| 18 |
Charlton
|
39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 |
Blackburn
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 |
West Brom
|
39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 |
Portsmouth
|
38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 |
Leicester
|
39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 |
Oxford United
|
39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 |
Sheffield Wednesday
|
39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | -55 | -6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.