Tasmania NPL
March 21, 2026
South Hobart
5–1
FT
Kingborough Lions
We predicted
South Hobart 4+
55% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
South Hobart 4+
|
Actual
5–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — South Hobart 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
55%
Team Context
South Hobart
Rank#1
Played21
Points54
PPG2.57
Goal Diff64
W
W
W
W
L
Kingborough Lions
3#Rank
21Played
41Points
1.95PPG
12Goal Diff
W
W
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
South Hobart 4+
31.3%
2-1
7.8%
12.8
3-1
7.8%
12.89
2-2
5.9%
17.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
74% · 1.36
NO
26% · 3.79
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
South Hobart
58% · 1.73
Draw
28% · 3.61
Kingborough Lions
14% · 6.96
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22
Under 18% · 5.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
94%
Over 94% · 1.07
Under 6% · 15.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56
Under 36% · 2.8
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
South Hobart
W
W
W
W
L
Kingborough Lions
W
W
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
South Hobart
Stat
Kingborough Lions
2.98
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.5
#1
League Pos.
#3
54 pts
Points
41 pts
2.57
Points / Game
1.95
+64
Goal Diff.
+12
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
South Hobart
Draw
Kingborough Lions
27
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.