Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta March 11, 2026
Şimal

Şimal

02
FT
Safa Baku

Safa Baku

We predicted

Safa Baku 4+ 56% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Safa Baku 4+
|
Actual 0–2

We predicted the correct result direction (away), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 56%
Team Context
Şimal
Rank#10
Played17
Points11
PPG0.65
Goal Diff-29
W W L L L
Safa Baku
1#Rank
17Played
39Points
2.29PPG
27Goal Diff
W W D D D
Most Likely Scores
Safa Baku 4+
27.6%
1-2
8.9%
11.2
1-3
8.2%
12.18
0-2
7.5%
13.39
Both Teams To Score
YES 65% · 1.53
NO 35% · 2.87
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Şimal 9% · 11.59
Draw 30% · 3.36
Safa Baku 62% · 1.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.34 Under 25% · 3.98
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
90%
Over 90% · 1.11 Under 10% · 10.27
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83 Under 45% · 2.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Şimal Şimal
W W L L L
Safa Baku Safa Baku
W W D D D

Key Stats Comparison

Şimal
Stat
Safa Baku
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.76
#10
League Pos.
#1
11 pts
Points
39 pts
0.65
Points / Game
2.29
-29
Goal Diff.
+27

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Şimal
Draw
Safa Baku
4 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Safa Baku Safa Baku A
18 12 6 0 +29 42
2
Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
18 10 6 2 +13 36
3
Səbail Səbail
18 9 6 3 +11 33
4
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir
18 9 5 4 +13 32
5
Şahdağ Şahdağ
18 7 4 7 +2 25
6
MOIK MOIK
18 6 4 8 -5 22
7
Zaqatala Zaqatala
17 6 3 8 -3 21
8
Cəbrayıl Cəbrayıl
17 4 1 12 -9 13
9
Difai Ağsu Difai Ağsu
18 3 3 12 -20 12
10
Şimal Şimal H
18 3 2 13 -31 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record