III Liga - Group 4 III Liga - Group 4 March 21, 2026
Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Siarka Tarnobrzeg

02
FT
Chełmianka Chełm

Chełmianka Chełm

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Rank#7
Played22
Points35
PPG1.59
Goal Diff14
L W L W L
Chełmianka Chełm
3#Rank
22Played
45Points
2.05PPG
16Goal Diff
W D W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.1
2-1
9.2%
10.86
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4+
8.5%
1-0
8.1%
12.3
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.66
NO 40% · 2.51
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Siarka Tarnobrzeg 31% · 3.22
Draw 32% · 3.09
Chełmianka Chełm 37% · 2.73
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72 Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24 Under 20% · 5.12
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8 Under 64% · 1.56

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Siarka Tarnobrzeg Siarka Tarnobrzeg
L W L W L
Chełmianka Chełm Chełmianka Chełm
W D W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Stat
Chełmianka Chełm
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35
#7
League Pos.
#3
35 pts
Points
45 pts
1.59
Points / Game
2.05
+14
Goal Diff.
+16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record