Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 March 11, 2026
Sevilla III

Sevilla III

31
FT
Ceuta II

Ceuta II

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Sevilla III
Rank#12
Played24
Points28
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-3
W L W D D
Ceuta II
9#Rank
24Played
36Points
1.5PPG
-3Goal Diff
L W L D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.2%
7.06
1-1
12.6%
7.95
0-0
10.0%
9.96
2-0
10.0%
10.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sevilla III 47% · 2.11
Draw 34% · 2.92
Ceuta II 18% · 5.49
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.48 Under 60% · 1.68
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.02
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.0 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sevilla III Sevilla III
W L W D D
Ceuta II Ceuta II
L W L D W

Key Stats Comparison

Sevilla III
Stat
Ceuta II
1.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#12
League Pos.
#9
28 pts
Points
36 pts
1.17
Points / Game
1.5
-3
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Sevilla III
Draw
Ceuta II
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Ciudad de Lucena Ciudad de Lucena
25 15 6 4 +31 51
2
Dos Hermanas Dos Hermanas
25 13 4 8 +16 43
3
Linense Linense
25 10 11 4 +14 41
4
Bollullos Bollullos
24 11 8 5 +10 41
5
Atlético Central Atlético Central
25 11 7 7 +4 40
6
San Roque Lepe San Roque Lepe
25 10 9 6 +8 39
7
Cádiz II Cádiz II
25 11 7 8 +6 39
8
Pozoblanco Pozoblanco
25 10 8 7 +4 38
9
Conil Conil
25 10 7 8 -1 37
10
Ceuta II Ceuta II A
25 10 7 9 -5 36
11
Chiclana Chiclana
25 8 9 8 -4 33
12
Sevilla III Sevilla III H
25 9 4 12 -1 31
13
Atlético Onubense Atlético Onubense
24 7 7 10 -5 28
14
Córdoba II Córdoba II
24 6 7 11 -6 25
15
Tomares Tomares
24 6 6 12 -11 24
16
Utrera Utrera
24 6 5 13 -12 23
17
Castilleja Castilleja
24 4 7 13 -23 19
18
Coria CF Coria CF
25 3 7 15 -25 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record