First League
March 21, 2026
Septemvri Sofia
1–1
LIVE
Arda Kardzhali
Predicted score
0-1
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Septemvri Sofia
Rank#14
Played26
Points21
PPG0.81
Goal Diff-31
L
L
L
L
W
Arda Kardzhali
8#Rank
26Played
35Points
1.35PPG
2Goal Diff
W
L
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
0-1
13.3%
7.51
1-1
11.5%
8.67
0-2
11.0%
9.08
1-2
9.6%
10.47
Both Teams To Score
YES
47% · 2.13
NO
53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Septemvri Sofia
12% · 8.5
Draw
35% · 2.88
Arda Kardzhali
54% · 1.87
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.17
Under 54% · 1.85
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.4
Under 28% · 3.53
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.07
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Septemvri Sofia
L
L
L
L
W
Arda Kardzhali
W
L
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Septemvri Sofia
Stat
Arda Kardzhali
0.87
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.65
#14
League Pos.
#8
21 pts
Points
35 pts
0.81
Points / Game
1.35
-31
Goal Diff.
+2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
3 W
Septemvri Sofia
Draw
Arda Kardzhali
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levski Sofia
|
26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | +40 | 62 |
| 2 |
Ludogorets
|
27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | +35 | 56 |
| 3 |
CSKA 1948
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 50 |
| 4 |
CSKA Sofia
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |
Cherno More Varna
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +14 | 43 |
| 6 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 |
Slavia Sofia
|
27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 8 |
Arda Kardzhali
A
|
26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 |
Botev Vratsa
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 |
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | +3 | 34 |
| 11 |
Botev Plovdiv
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 |
Dobrudzha
|
26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -14 | 25 |
| 13 |
Spartak Varna
|
27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 |
Septemvri Sofia
H
|
26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | -31 | 21 |
| 15 |
Beroe
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -22 | 19 |
| 16 |
Montana
|
26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | -27 | 16 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.