Bundesliga Bundesliga March 15, 2026
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

01
FT
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

We predicted

1-0 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
SC Freiburg
Rank#8
Played25
Points34
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-5
D L W L W
Union Berlin
11#Rank
25Played
28Points
1.12PPG
-12Goal Diff
L L W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
11.7%
8.54
SC Freiburg 4+
11.3%
2-0
10.8%
9.23
1-1
10.7%
9.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.98
NO 50% · 2.02
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
SC Freiburg 50% · 2.02
Draw 27% · 3.64
Union Berlin 23% · 4.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
52%
48%
Over 52% · 1.92 Under 48% · 2.09
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.31 Under 24% · 4.2
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.36 Under 70% · 1.42

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
D L W L W
Union Berlin Union Berlin
L L W L D

Key Stats Comparison

SC Freiburg
Stat
Union Berlin
1.85
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#8
League Pos.
#11
34 pts
Points
28 pts
1.36
Points / Game
1.12
-5
Goal Diff.
-12

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
2 D
3 W
SC Freiburg
Draw
Union Berlin
7 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
26 21 4 1 +68 67
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
26 17 7 2 +29 58
3
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
26 15 5 6 +20 50
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
26 15 5 6 +17 50
5
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
26 14 5 7 +13 47
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
26 13 6 7 +16 45
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
26 10 8 8 +0 38
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg H
26 9 7 10 -6 34
9
Union Berlin Union Berlin A
26 8 7 11 -11 31
10
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
26 9 4 13 -14 31
11
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
26 7 9 10 -8 30
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
26 7 7 12 -13 28
13
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
26 6 9 11 -10 27
14
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
26 6 7 13 -9 25
15
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
26 6 7 13 -18 25
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
26 6 6 14 -19 24
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
26 5 6 15 -21 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
26 3 5 18 -34 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record