Bundesliga Bundesliga March 7, 2026
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

33
FT
Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen

We predicted

1-0 27% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 7 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 27%
Team Context
SC Freiburg
Rank#8
Played24
Points33
PPG1.38
Goal Diff-5
L W L W L
Bayer Leverkusen
6#Rank
24Played
43Points
1.79PPG
16Goal Diff
W D L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.6%
6.84
1-1
13.2%
7.59
0-0
11.9%
8.38
0-1
10.8%
9.3
Both Teams To Score
YES 42% · 2.38
NO 58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
SC Freiburg 30% · 3.31
Draw 36% · 2.81
Bayer Leverkusen 34% · 2.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8 Under 64% · 1.56
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59 Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.02 Under 83% · 1.2

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
L W L W L
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W D L W D

Key Stats Comparison

SC Freiburg
Stat
Bayer Leverkusen
1.23
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#8
League Pos.
#6
33 pts
Points
43 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.79
-5
Goal Diff.
+16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
28 23 4 1 +73 73
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
28 19 7 2 +32 64
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
28 16 5 7 +19 53
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
28 16 5 7 +18 53
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
28 15 5 8 +14 50
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen A
28 14 7 7 +19 49
7
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
28 10 9 9 -1 39
8
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg H
28 10 7 11 -6 37
9
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
28 8 9 11 -8 33
10
Union Berlin Union Berlin
28 8 8 12 -15 32
11
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
28 9 5 14 -17 32
12
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
28 7 10 11 -9 31
13
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
28 7 9 12 -13 30
14
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
28 7 7 14 -18 28
15
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
28 6 9 13 -9 27
16
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
28 6 7 15 -20 25
17
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
28 5 6 17 -25 21
18
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
28 3 7 18 -34 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record