Primeira Liga Primeira Liga February 21, 2026
SC Braga

SC Braga

32
FT
Guimaraes

Guimaraes

We predicted

1-1 26% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 3–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 26%
Team Context
SC Braga
Rank#5
Played22
Points39
PPG1.77
Goal Diff25
L W W W W
Guimaraes
8#Rank
22Played
31Points
1.41PPG
-6Goal Diff
W L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.35
1-0
11.1%
9.02
2-1
9.4%
10.6
2-0
8.7%
11.45
Both Teams To Score
YES 52% · 1.91
NO 48% · 2.1
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
SC Braga 49% · 2.05
Draw 25% · 3.97
Guimaraes 26% · 3.83
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.02 Under 51% · 1.98
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.35 Under 26% · 3.88
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.64 Under 73% · 1.38

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

SC Braga SC Braga
L W W W W
Guimaraes Guimaraes
W L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

SC Braga
Stat
Guimaraes
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#5
League Pos.
#8
39 pts
Points
31 pts
1.77
Points / Game
1.41
+25
Goal Diff.
-6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
2 D
1 W
SC Braga
Draw
Guimaraes
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
27 23 3 1 +43 72
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
26 20 5 1 +53 65
3
Benfica Benfica
27 19 8 0 +41 65
4
SC Braga SC Braga H
26 13 7 6 +26 46
5
Famalicao Famalicao
27 13 6 8 +11 45
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
27 11 9 7 +11 42
7
Estoril Estoril
27 10 7 10 +4 37
8
Moreirense Moreirense
27 10 5 12 -8 35
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes A
27 9 5 13 -13 32
10
Rio Ave Rio Ave
27 7 9 11 -18 30
11
Alverca Alverca
27 7 8 12 -18 29
12
Arouca Arouca
27 8 5 14 -21 29
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
27 7 7 13 -7 28
14
Estrela Estrela
27 6 10 11 -12 28
15
Casa Pia Casa Pia
26 5 9 12 -22 24
16
Nacional Nacional
27 5 7 15 -10 22
17
Tondela Tondela
26 4 8 14 -20 20
18
AVS AVS
27 1 8 18 -40 11

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record