Serie A
May 17, 2026
Sassuolo
13:00
VS
Lecce
Predicted score
1-0
39% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Sassuolo
Rank#9
Played28
Points38
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-3
L
W
W
W
L
Lecce
16#Rank
28Played
27Points
0.96PPG
-17Goal Diff
W
L
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.9%
7.22
2-0
12.2%
8.2
1-1
10.9%
9.21
Sassuolo 4+
10.0%
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.22
NO
55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sassuolo
54% · 1.84
Draw
32% · 3.14
Lecce
14% · 7.25
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.14
Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.59
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.0
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sassuolo
L
W
W
W
L
Lecce
W
L
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sassuolo
Stat
Lecce
1.76
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#9
League Pos.
#16
38 pts
Points
27 pts
1.36
Points / Game
0.96
-3
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Sassuolo
Draw
Lecce
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 69 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +24 | 63 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 62 |
| 4 |
Como
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +31 | 57 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +23 | 54 |
| 6 |
AS Roma
|
30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | +17 | 54 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
H
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Lecce
A
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -31 | 18 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.