Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
April 4, 2026
Sarriana
4–0
FT
Sámano
We predicted
Sarriana 4+
38% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Sarriana 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Sarriana 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Sarriana
Rank#14
Played29
Points34
PPG1.17
Goal Diff-2
D
D
W
D
W
Sámano
18#Rank
29Played
15Points
0.52PPG
-46Goal Diff
L
L
W
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Sarriana 4+
13.2%
1-0
11.3%
8.87
2-0
11.1%
9.02
1-1
10.1%
9.89
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.97
NO
49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sarriana
55% · 1.81
Draw
31% · 3.25
Sámano
14% · 7.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.84
Under 46% · 2.19
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.51
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.13
Under 68% · 1.47
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sarriana
D
D
W
D
W
Sámano
L
L
W
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Sarriana
Stat
Sámano
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.9
#14
League Pos.
#18
34 pts
Points
15 pts
1.17
Points / Game
0.52
-2
Goal Diff.
-46
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Sarriana
Draw
Sámano
7
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Deportivo La Coruña II
|
29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | +31 | 60 |
| 2 |
Real Oviedo II
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +16 | 54 |
| 3 |
Gimnástica Segoviana
|
29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | +5 | 48 |
| 4 |
Real Ávila
|
29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | +4 | 47 |
| 5 |
Coruxo
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +7 | 45 |
| 6 |
UD Ourense
|
29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |
Salamanca UDS
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +8 | 44 |
| 8 |
Numancia
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +6 | 43 |
| 9 |
Atlético Astorga
|
30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 40 |
| 10 |
Bergantiños
|
29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +3 | 39 |
| 11 |
Sarriana
H
|
30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | +2 | 37 |
| 12 |
Langreo
|
29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -6 | 36 |
| 13 |
Racing Santander II
|
29 | 7 | 15 | 7 | +9 | 36 |
| 14 |
Marino de Luanco
|
29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 35 |
| 15 |
Real Valladolid II
|
29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -5 | 33 |
| 16 |
Burgos Promesas
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -14 | 29 |
| 17 |
Lealtad
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Sámano
A
|
30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | -50 | 15 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.