Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone H March 15, 2026
Sarnese

Sarnese

20
FT
Gravina

Gravina

We predicted

1-1 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Sarnese
Rank#15
Played26
Points28
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-3
L D D W L
Gravina
7#Rank
26Played
39Points
1.5PPG
0Goal Diff
W W W W W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.2%
8.94
2-1
9.4%
10.66
1-0
8.8%
11.42
Sarnese 4+
8.6%
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.71
NO 41% · 2.42
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Sarnese 32% · 3.12
Draw 32% · 3.08
Gravina 36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.77 Under 43% · 2.3
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.93 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sarnese Sarnese
L D D W L
Gravina Gravina
W W W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Sarnese
Stat
Gravina
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.28
#15
League Pos.
#7
28 pts
Points
39 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.5
-3
Goal Diff.
+0

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Sarnese
Draw
Gravina
8 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record