Serie A Serie A October 11, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

20:00
VS
Vitoria

Vitoria

Predicted score

Sao Paulo 4+ 51% confidence
View full match details Sunday, October 11 2026

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 51%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#2
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff4
W W D W
Vitoria
15#Rank
3Played
3Points
1.0PPG
-3Goal Diff
L L W
Most Likely Scores
Sao Paulo 4+
23.1%
2-0
15.9%
6.31
3-0
13.2%
7.57
1-0
12.7%
7.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.79
NO 64% · 1.56
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 69% · 1.46
Draw 28% · 3.55
Vitoria 3% · 30.3
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76 Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.93
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.92 Under 66% · 1.52

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
W W D W
Vitoria Vitoria
L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Vitoria
2.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.5
#2
League Pos.
#15
10 pts
Points
3 pts
2.5
Points / Game
1.0
+4
Goal Diff.
-3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Vitoria
11 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
9 7 1 1 +10 22
2
Fluminense Fluminense
9 6 1 2 +6 19
3
Bahia Bahia
8 5 2 1 +5 17
4
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
9 5 2 2 +5 17
5
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
9 5 1 3 +3 16
6
Flamengo Flamengo
8 4 2 2 +5 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
9 4 2 3 +1 14
8
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
9 3 3 3 +0 12
9
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
9 3 2 4 +1 11
10
Gremio Gremio
9 3 2 4 +0 11
11
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
9 3 2 4 -1 11
12
Vitoria Vitoria A
8 3 1 4 -5 10
13
Santos Santos
9 2 4 3 -1 10
14
Corinthians Corinthians
9 2 4 3 -2 10
15
Botafogo Botafogo
8 3 0 5 -4 9
16
Internacional Internacional
9 2 3 4 -2 9
17
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
9 1 4 4 -5 7
18
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
8 1 4 3 -6 7
19
Mirassol Mirassol
8 1 3 4 -3 6
20
remo remo
9 1 3 5 -7 6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record