Serie A
October 18, 2026
Sao Paulo
20:00
VS
Vasco DA Gama
Predicted score
1-0
48% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, October 18 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
48%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#2
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff4
W
W
D
W
Vasco DA Gama
20#Rank
4Played
1Points
0.25PPG
-3Goal Diff
L
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.9%
4.78
2-0
17.7%
5.66
0-0
12.4%
8.06
3-0
9.9%
10.06
Both Teams To Score
YES
27% · 3.71
NO
73% · 1.37
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo
60% · 1.68
Draw
31% · 3.18
Vasco DA Gama
9% · 11.15
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.89
Under 65% · 1.53
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.62
Under 38% · 2.61
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.34
Under 84% · 1.19
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sao Paulo
W
W
D
W
Vasco DA Gama
L
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Sao Paulo
Stat
Vasco DA Gama
1.69
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.4
#2
League Pos.
#20
10 pts
Points
1 pts
2.5
Points / Game
0.25
+4
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Vasco DA Gama
14
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Fluminense
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Sao Paulo
H
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |
Vasco DA Gama
A
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 11 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Cruzeiro
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.