Serie A Serie A July 29, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

20:00
VS
Santos

Santos

Predicted score

Sao Paulo 4+ 56% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, July 29 2026

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 56%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#2
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff4
W W D W
Santos
13#Rank
4Played
4Points
1.0PPG
-2Goal Diff
W L D L
Most Likely Scores
Sao Paulo 4+
29.6%
2-0
14.2%
7.02
3-0
13.4%
7.45
1-0
10.1%
9.93
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.58
NO 61% · 1.63
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 68% · 1.46
Draw 25% · 4.03
Santos 7% · 14.68
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.55 Under 36% · 2.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.18 Under 16% · 6.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39 Under 58% · 1.72

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
W W D W
Santos Santos
W L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Santos
2.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.53
#2
League Pos.
#13
10 pts
Points
4 pts
2.5
Points / Game
1.0
+4
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Santos
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
8 5 1 2 +5 16
3
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
4
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
5
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
6
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
7 4 1 2 +3 13
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos A
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
6 2 0 4 -2 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record