Serie A
April 4, 2026
Sao Paulo
21:30
VS
Cruzeiro
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#8
Played38
Points51
PPG1.34
Goal Diff-4
L
W
L
W
L
Cruzeiro
3#Rank
38Played
70Points
1.84PPG
24Goal Diff
L
D
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.9%
6.71
2-0
11.8%
8.51
1-1
11.7%
8.56
0-0
9.5%
10.57
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.32
NO
57% · 1.76
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo
54% · 1.86
Draw
35% · 2.84
Cruzeiro
11% · 8.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39
Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47
Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.72
Under 79% · 1.27
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sao Paulo
L
W
L
W
L
Cruzeiro
L
D
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Sao Paulo
Stat
Cruzeiro
1.58
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#8
League Pos.
#3
51 pts
Points
70 pts
1.34
Points / Game
1.84
-4
Goal Diff.
+24
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Cruzeiro
8
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |
Fluminense
|
9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 19 |
| 3 |
Bahia
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 4 |
Sao Paulo
H
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Atletico Paranaense
|
9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Flamengo
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 14 |
| 8 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 10 |
Gremio
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 11 |
| 11 |
RB Bragantino
|
9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |
Vitoria
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 |
Santos
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 |
Corinthians
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 |
Botafogo
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 |
Internacional
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 17 |
Cruzeiro
A
|
9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 19 |
Mirassol
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 6 |
| 20 |
remo
|
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.