Serie A Serie A August 16, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

20:00
VS
Coritiba

Coritiba

Predicted score

2-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, August 16 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#2
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff4
W W D W
Coritiba
12#Rank
4Played
4Points
1.0PPG
-1Goal Diff
L D W L
Most Likely Scores
2-0
16.5%
6.05
1-0
16.1%
6.2
Sao Paulo 4+
14.8%
3-0
11.3%
8.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 34% · 2.93
NO 66% · 1.52
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 62% · 1.6
Draw 29% · 3.46
Coritiba 9% · 11.47
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.15 Under 53% · 1.87
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.02 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
W W D W
Coritiba Coritiba
L D W L

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Coritiba
2.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.5
#2
League Pos.
#12
10 pts
Points
4 pts
2.5
Points / Game
1.0
+4
Goal Diff.
-1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Coritiba
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba A
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record