Serie A Serie A March 12, 2026
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

20
FT
Chapecoense-sc

Chapecoense-sc

We predicted

Sao Paulo 4+ 53% confidence
View full match details Thursday, March 12 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Sao Paulo 4+
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 53%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#8
Played38
Points51
PPG1.34
Goal Diff-4
L W L W L
Chapecoense-sc
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
Sao Paulo 4+
33.6%
3-0
17.2%
5.81
2-0
17.0%
5.87
1-0
11.3%
8.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 25% · 4.06
NO 75% · 1.33
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo 72% · 1.39
Draw 23% · 4.39
Chapecoense-sc 5% · 19.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.58 Under 37% · 2.73
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
84%
16%
Over 84% · 1.19 Under 16% · 6.22
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.47 Under 59% · 1.68

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
L W L W L
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Sao Paulo
Stat
Chapecoense-sc
3.03
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.3
#8
League Pos.
51 pts
Points
– pts
1.34
Points / Game
-4
Goal Diff.
+

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Chapecoense-sc
13 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
8 6 1 1 +9 19
2
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
8 5 1 2 +6 16
3
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo H
8 5 1 2 +5 16
4
Fluminense Fluminense
8 5 1 2 +4 16
5
Flamengo Flamengo
7 4 2 1 +8 14
6
Bahia Bahia
7 4 2 1 +2 14
7
Coritiba Coritiba
8 4 1 3 +1 13
8
Gremio Gremio
8 3 2 3 +1 11
9
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
8 3 2 3 +0 11
10
Vitoria Vitoria
7 3 1 3 -2 10
11
Corinthians Corinthians
8 2 4 2 +0 10
12
Internacional Internacional
8 2 2 4 -2 8
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
8 2 2 4 -3 8
14
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
8 2 2 4 -4 8
15
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc A
7 1 4 2 -2 7
16
Santos Santos
8 1 4 3 -3 7
17
Botafogo Botafogo
7 2 0 5 -5 6
18
Mirassol Mirassol
7 1 3 3 -2 6
19
remo remo
8 1 3 4 -5 6
20
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
8 0 4 4 -8 4

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record