Serie A
July 22, 2026
Sao Paulo
20:00
VS
Atletico Paranaense
Predicted score
1-0
44% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, July 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
44%
Team Context
Sao Paulo
Rank#2
Played4
Points10
PPG2.5
Goal Diff4
W
W
D
W
Atletico Paranaense
6#Rank
4Played
7Points
1.75PPG
1Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
20.2%
4.94
2-0
17.2%
5.82
0-0
11.9%
8.39
3-0
9.7%
10.29
Both Teams To Score
YES
29% · 3.5
NO
71% · 1.4
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Sao Paulo
59% · 1.69
Draw
31% · 3.18
Atletico Paranaense
9% · 10.72
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.55
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
63%
37%
Over 63% · 1.59
Under 37% · 2.68
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
17%
83%
Over 17% · 6.05
Under 83% · 1.2
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Sao Paulo
W
W
D
W
Atletico Paranaense
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Sao Paulo
Stat
Atletico Paranaense
1.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.43
#2
League Pos.
#6
10 pts
Points
7 pts
2.5
Points / Game
1.75
+4
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Sao Paulo
Draw
Atletico Paranaense
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palmeiras
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |
Sao Paulo
H
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 |
Fluminense
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 4 |
Flamengo
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 |
Bahia
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 6 |
Atletico Paranaense
A
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |
Coritiba
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |
Gremio
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |
Vasco DA Gama
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0 | 11 |
| 10 |
Vitoria
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |
Corinthians
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +0 | 10 |
| 12 |
Internacional
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |
Atletico-MG
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |
RB Bragantino
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |
Chapecoense-sc
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 |
Santos
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 |
Botafogo
|
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 |
Mirassol
|
7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 |
remo
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 |
Cruzeiro
|
8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8 | 4 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.