Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
March 15, 2026
Santurtzi
10:15
VS
Portugalete
Predicted score
1-1
40% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Santurtzi
Rank#13
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-10
L
D
L
D
L
Portugalete
1#Rank
25Played
63Points
2.52PPG
39Goal Diff
W
D
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.27
0-1
9.6%
10.47
1-2
8.9%
11.27
1-0
8.2%
12.14
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.81
NO
45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Santurtzi
20% · 5.1
Draw
35% · 2.83
Portugalete
45% · 2.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.95
Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.11
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.42
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Santurtzi
L
D
L
D
L
Portugalete
W
D
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Santurtzi
Stat
Portugalete
1.27
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.47
#13
League Pos.
#1
27 pts
Points
63 pts
1.08
Points / Game
2.52
-10
Goal Diff.
+39
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Santurtzi
Draw
Portugalete
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
A
|
25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | +39 | 63 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | +14 | 49 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | +8 | 44 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
|
26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | +13 | 43 |
| 5 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +5 | 44 |
| 6 |
San Ignacio
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +8 | 42 |
| 7 |
Derio
|
25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 37 |
| 9 |
Durango
|
26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 36 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | +0 | 35 |
| 11 |
Real Sociedad III
|
25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | -6 | 33 |
| 12 |
Eibar III
|
25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -10 | 27 |
| 13 |
Santurtzi
H
|
25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
26 | 8 | 3 | 15 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -13 | 26 |
| 16 |
Pasaia KE
|
26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -25 | 22 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.