Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 March 28, 2026
Santurtzi

Santurtzi

01
FT
Lagun Onak

Lagun Onak

We predicted

1-1 36% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Santurtzi
Rank#13
Played27
Points31
PPG1.15
Goal Diff-8
W D L D L
Lagun Onak
4#Rank
27Played
46Points
1.7PPG
14Goal Diff
D D D D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.87
1-0
11.6%
8.62
0-1
9.1%
10.94
2-1
8.8%
11.34
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.0
NO 50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santurtzi 44% · 2.26
Draw 34% · 2.94
Lagun Onak 22% · 4.6
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21 Under 55% · 1.82
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.41 Under 29% · 3.44
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.2 Under 76% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Santurtzi Santurtzi
W D L D L
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak
D D D D L

Key Stats Comparison

Santurtzi
Stat
Lagun Onak
1.39
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#13
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
46 pts
1.15
Points / Game
1.7
-8
Goal Diff.
+14

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugalete Portugalete
29 22 5 2 +42 71
2
Leioa Leioa
29 16 5 8 +14 53
3
Touring Touring
29 15 8 6 +13 53
4
Lagun Onak Lagun Onak A
29 16 4 9 +20 52
5
San Ignacio San Ignacio
29 14 7 9 +10 48
6
Derio Derio
29 14 5 10 +11 47
7
Aurrerá Vitoria Aurrerá Vitoria
29 14 5 10 +3 47
8
Deportivo Alavés III Deportivo Alavés III
29 12 8 9 +13 44
9
Real Sociedad III Real Sociedad III
29 12 4 13 -4 40
10
Aretxabaleta Aretxabaleta
29 11 6 12 -3 39
11
Durango Durango
29 9 10 11 -1 37
12
Santurtzi Santurtzi H
29 7 11 11 -9 32
13
Pasaia KE Pasaia KE
29 8 8 13 -10 32
14
Añorga Añorga
29 9 3 17 -22 30
15
Zamudio Zamudio
29 8 5 16 -18 29
16
Eibar III Eibar III
29 7 7 15 -15 28
17
Zarautz Zarautz
29 7 5 17 -26 26
18
Deusto Deusto
29 5 6 18 -18 21

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record