Primeira Liga
April 11, 2026
Santa Clara
17:00
VS
Rio Ave
Predicted score
1-0
40% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 11 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Santa Clara
Rank#16
Played25
Points22
PPG0.88
Goal Diff-9
W
D
D
L
L
Rio Ave
14#Rank
25Played
24Points
0.96PPG
-20Goal Diff
W
D
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
18.6%
5.38
0-0
14.0%
7.13
2-0
12.3%
8.12
1-1
11.9%
8.41
Both Teams To Score
YES
35% · 2.88
NO
65% · 1.53
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Clara
50% · 2.0
Draw
35% · 2.84
Rio Ave
15% · 6.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.19
Under 69% · 1.46
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.71
Under 42% · 2.41
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.34
Under 86% · 1.16
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Santa Clara
W
D
D
L
L
Rio Ave
W
D
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Santa Clara
Stat
Rio Ave
1.33
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#16
League Pos.
#14
22 pts
Points
24 pts
0.88
Points / Game
0.96
-9
Goal Diff.
-20
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Santa Clara
Draw
Rio Ave
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
A
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
H
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.