Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 March 15, 2026
Santa Amalia

Santa Amalia

21
FT
Calamonte

Calamonte

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Santa Amalia
Rank#13
Played25
Points30
PPG1.2
Goal Diff-10
L L L L L
Calamonte
16#Rank
25Played
19Points
0.76PPG
-12Goal Diff
L L D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.07
1-1
12.7%
7.91
0-0
10.1%
9.88
2-0
9.9%
10.13
Both Teams To Score
YES 44% · 2.25
NO 56% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Santa Amalia 43% · 2.32
Draw 30% · 3.29
Calamonte 26% · 3.78
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.49 Under 60% · 1.67
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.5 Under 33% · 3.0
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 5.04 Under 80% · 1.25

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
L L L L L
Calamonte Calamonte
L L D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Santa Amalia
Stat
Calamonte
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.89
#13
League Pos.
#16
30 pts
Points
19 pts
1.2
Points / Game
0.76
-10
Goal Diff.
-12

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
0 W
Santa Amalia
Draw
Calamonte
8 total goals
4 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
26 16 6 4 +36 54
2
Moralo Moralo
26 14 8 4 +19 50
3
Badajoz Badajoz
26 15 5 6 +14 47
4
Azuaga Azuaga
26 13 7 6 +13 46
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
26 12 9 5 +18 45
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
26 10 12 4 +11 42
7
Villanovense Villanovense
26 10 8 8 +3 38
8
Jerez Jerez
26 7 15 4 +10 36
9
Villafranca Villafranca
26 10 6 10 -1 36
10
Llerenense Llerenense
26 10 5 11 -2 35
11
Montijo Montijo
26 9 6 11 -1 33
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia H
26 9 6 12 -9 32
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
26 7 12 8 -7 32
14
Gévora Gévora
26 5 8 13 -18 23
15
Diocesano Diocesano
25 4 9 12 -19 21
16
Calamonte Calamonte A
26 3 10 13 -13 19
17
Montehermoso Montehermoso
26 4 7 15 -26 19
18
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
25 4 5 16 -28 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record