Primera Nacional Primera Nacional March 15, 2026
San Martin Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman

20
FT
Nueva Chicago

Nueva Chicago

We predicted

1-0 43% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
San Martin Tucuman
Rank#6
Played34
Points49
PPG1.44
Goal Diff3
D D L W L
Nueva Chicago
11#Rank
34Played
41Points
1.21PPG
-6Goal Diff
L W D W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
22.9%
4.36
0-0
18.2%
5.5
2-0
14.4%
6.93
1-1
10.2%
9.8
Both Teams To Score
YES 26% · 3.89
NO 74% · 1.35
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
San Martin Tucuman 48% · 2.07
Draw 32% · 3.13
Nueva Chicago 20% · 5.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.1 Under 76% · 1.32
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.97 Under 49% · 2.03
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
91%
Over 9% · 10.68 Under 91% · 1.1

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
D D L W L
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
L W D W L

Key Stats Comparison

San Martin Tucuman
Stat
Nueva Chicago
1.26
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.45
#6
League Pos.
#11
49 pts
Points
41 pts
1.44
Points / Game
1.21
+3
Goal Diff.
-6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record