Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 March 14, 2026
San Marcial

San Marcial

10
FT
Yagüe

Yagüe

We predicted

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
San Marcial
Rank#14
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-12
D L W W D
Yagüe
9#Rank
25Played
36Points
1.44PPG
6Goal Diff
W D L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.88
2-1
8.7%
11.45
1-2
8.1%
12.39
1-0
7.9%
12.74
Both Teams To Score
YES 60% · 1.67
NO 40% · 2.5
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
San Marcial 42% · 2.37
Draw 33% · 3.07
Yagüe 25% · 3.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.75 Under 43% · 2.34
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.96
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.87 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

San Marcial San Marcial
D L W W D
Yagüe Yagüe
W D L D L

Key Stats Comparison

San Marcial
Stat
Yagüe
1.55
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#14
League Pos.
#9
27 pts
Points
36 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.44
-12
Goal Diff.
+6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
San Marcial
Draw
Yagüe
3 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
UD Logroñés II UD Logroñés II
26 19 7 0 +49 64
2
Varea Varea
26 19 4 3 +24 61
3
Arnedo Arnedo
26 14 8 4 +28 50
4
Anguiano Anguiano
26 14 7 5 +16 49
5
Oyonesa Oyonesa
26 14 4 8 +8 46
6
Calahorra Calahorra
26 12 9 5 +42 45
7
Agoncillo Agoncillo
26 11 6 9 +10 39
8
Haro Deportivo Haro Deportivo
26 11 5 10 +2 38
9
Yagüe Yagüe A
26 9 9 8 +5 36
10
Vianés Vianés
26 8 7 11 -7 31
11
San Marcial San Marcial H
26 8 6 12 -11 30
12
Berceo Berceo
26 7 7 11 -8 29
13
Comillas Comillas
26 8 4 14 -21 28
14
La Calzada La Calzada
26 7 6 13 -12 27
15
Pradejón Pradejón
26 7 6 13 -12 27
16
Villegas Villegas
26 6 4 16 -30 22
17
Autol Autol
26 3 4 19 -43 13
18
Peña Balsamaiso Peña Balsamaiso
26 0 10 16 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record