Birinci Dasta
March 12, 2026
Şahdağ
1–1
FT
MOIK
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, March 12 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Şahdağ
Rank#5
Played17
Points24
PPG1.41
Goal Diff2
L
W
W
W
W
MOIK
7#Rank
17Played
21Points
1.24PPG
-5Goal Diff
W
L
W
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.87
2-1
9.4%
10.7
1-0
8.8%
11.31
Şahdağ 4+
8.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.71
NO
42% · 2.4
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Şahdağ
46% · 2.18
Draw
32% · 3.08
MOIK
22% · 4.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78
Under 44% · 2.28
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26
Under 21% · 4.78
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.97
Under 66% · 1.51
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Şahdağ
L
W
W
W
W
MOIK
W
L
W
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Şahdağ
Stat
MOIK
1.66
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.28
#5
League Pos.
#7
24 pts
Points
21 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.24
+2
Goal Diff.
-5
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Safa Baku
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | +29 | 42 |
| 2 |
Baku Sportinq
|
18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +13 | 36 |
| 3 |
Səbail
|
18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +11 | 33 |
| 4 |
Mingəçevir
|
18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | +13 | 32 |
| 5 |
Şahdağ
H
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +2 | 25 |
| 6 |
MOIK
A
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 7 |
Zaqatala
|
17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | -3 | 21 |
| 8 |
Cəbrayıl
|
17 | 4 | 1 | 12 | -9 | 13 |
| 9 |
Difai Ağsu
|
18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | -20 | 12 |
| 10 |
Şimal
|
18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -31 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.