Birinci Dasta Birinci Dasta March 18, 2026
Safa Baku

Safa Baku

10
FT
Şahdağ

Şahdağ

We predicted

Safa Baku 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 18 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Safa Baku 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Safa Baku
Rank#1
Played18
Points42
PPG2.33
Goal Diff29
W W W D D
Şahdağ
5#Rank
18Played
25Points
1.39PPG
2Goal Diff
D L W W W
Most Likely Scores
Safa Baku 4+
13.2%
1-1
10.1%
9.93
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-0
9.0%
11.06
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.73
NO 42% · 2.37
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Safa Baku 52% · 1.91
Draw 31% · 3.22
Şahdağ 17% · 6.0
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.68 Under 41% · 2.46
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23 Under 19% · 5.34
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.71 Under 63% · 1.59

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Safa Baku Safa Baku
W W W D D
Şahdağ Şahdağ
D L W W W

Key Stats Comparison

Safa Baku
Stat
Şahdağ
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.11
#1
League Pos.
#5
42 pts
Points
25 pts
2.33
Points / Game
1.39
+29
Goal Diff.
+2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
0 W
Safa Baku
Draw
Şahdağ
6 total goals
3 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Safa Baku Safa Baku H
19 13 6 0 +30 45
2
Baku Sportinq Baku Sportinq
19 10 7 2 +13 37
3
Səbail Səbail
19 9 7 3 +11 34
4
Mingəçevir Mingəçevir
19 9 6 4 +13 33
5
Şahdağ Şahdağ A
19 7 4 8 +1 25
6
MOIK MOIK
19 6 5 8 -5 23
7
Zaqatala Zaqatala
19 6 4 9 -4 22
8
Cəbrayıl Cəbrayıl
19 5 2 12 -8 17
9
Difai Ağsu Difai Ağsu
19 3 4 12 -20 13
10
Şimal Şimal
19 3 3 13 -31 12

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record