Birinci Dasta
March 18, 2026
Səbail
2–2
FT
MOIK
We predicted
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, March 18 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Səbail
Rank#3
Played18
Points33
PPG1.83
Goal Diff11
W
W
D
L
D
MOIK
6#Rank
18Played
22Points
1.22PPG
-5Goal Diff
D
W
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.12
1-0
12.0%
8.35
2-1
9.3%
10.81
2-0
9.0%
11.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.0
NO
50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Səbail
47% · 2.13
Draw
34% · 2.98
MOIK
20% · 5.11
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16
Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39
Under 28% · 3.55
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.03
Under 75% · 1.33
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Səbail
W
W
D
L
D
MOIK
D
W
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Səbail
Stat
MOIK
1.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#3
League Pos.
#6
33 pts
Points
22 pts
1.83
Points / Game
1.22
+11
Goal Diff.
-5
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Safa Baku
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | +30 | 45 |
| 2 |
Baku Sportinq
|
19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | +13 | 37 |
| 3 |
Səbail
H
|
19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | +11 | 34 |
| 4 |
Mingəçevir
|
19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | +13 | 33 |
| 5 |
Şahdağ
|
19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |
MOIK
A
|
19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | -5 | 23 |
| 7 |
Zaqatala
|
19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 |
Cəbrayıl
|
19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 |
Difai Ağsu
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -20 | 13 |
| 10 |
Şimal
|
19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | -31 | 12 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.