Primeira Liga
April 17, 2026
Rio Ave
19:45
VS
AVS
Predicted score
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Friday, April 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Rio Ave
Rank#14
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-20
W
D
L
L
L
AVS
18#Rank
25Played
10Points
0.4PPG
-39Goal Diff
D
D
L
W
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.2%
6.59
2-0
12.9%
7.75
1-1
10.9%
9.18
2-1
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
42% · 2.39
NO
58% · 1.72
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Rio Ave
51% · 1.98
Draw
28% · 3.55
AVS
21% · 4.7
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.3
Under 57% · 1.77
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.44
Under 30% · 3.28
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.47
Under 78% · 1.29
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Rio Ave
W
D
L
L
L
AVS
D
D
L
W
L
Key Stats Comparison
Rio Ave
Stat
AVS
1.7
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.72
#14
League Pos.
#18
24 pts
Points
10 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.4
-20
Goal Diff.
-39
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
FC Porto
|
28 | 23 | 4 | 1 | +43 | 73 |
| 2 |
Sporting CP
|
27 | 21 | 5 | 1 | +55 | 68 |
| 3 |
Benfica
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | +41 | 65 |
| 4 |
SC Braga
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +27 | 49 |
| 5 |
Famalicao
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
GIL Vicente
|
28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +14 | 45 |
| 7 |
Estoril
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +4 | 37 |
| 8 |
Guimaraes
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 |
Moreirense
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 10 |
Alverca
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -17 | 32 |
| 11 |
Rio Ave
H
|
28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 12 |
Arouca
|
27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 |
Santa Clara
|
28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 |
Estrela
|
28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 |
Nacional
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 25 |
| 16 |
Casa Pia
|
26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |
Tondela
|
27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 |
AVS
A
|
28 | 1 | 8 | 19 | -43 | 11 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.