Virsliga
March 14, 2026
Riga
4–2
FT
BFC Daugavpils
We predicted
Riga 4+
56% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Riga 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Riga 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
56%
Team Context
Riga
Rank#1
Played36
Points88
PPG2.44
Goal Diff59
L
D
D
W
W
BFC Daugavpils
4#Rank
36Played
48Points
1.33PPG
-10Goal Diff
L
L
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Riga 4+
35.9%
3-1
8.3%
12.03
2-1
7.8%
12.8
3-0
6.5%
15.31
Both Teams To Score
YES
69% · 1.45
NO
31% · 3.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Riga
62% · 1.61
Draw
26% · 3.79
BFC Daugavpils
11% · 8.84
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.38
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
93%
Over 93% · 1.07
Under 7% · 15.17
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.57
Under 36% · 2.74
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Riga
L
D
D
W
W
BFC Daugavpils
L
L
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Riga
Stat
BFC Daugavpils
3.19
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#1
League Pos.
#4
88 pts
Points
48 pts
2.44
Points / Game
1.33
+59
Goal Diff.
-10
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
1 D
1 W
Riga
Draw
BFC Daugavpils
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.