La Liga
February 21, 2026
Real Sociedad
3–3
FT
Oviedo
We predicted
1-1
28% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 21 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
3–3
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
28%
Team Context
Real Sociedad
Rank#9
Played24
Points31
PPG1.29
Goal Diff-1
L
W
D
W
W
Oviedo
20#Rank
23Played
16Points
0.7PPG
-23Goal Diff
L
W
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.6
2-1
8.6%
11.56
1-0
8.3%
12.02
1-2
8.1%
12.3
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.72
NO
42% · 2.4
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Sociedad
40% · 2.53
Draw
25% · 4.02
Oviedo
36% · 2.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.82
Under 45% · 2.22
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28
Under 22% · 4.6
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.07
Under 67% · 1.48
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Real Sociedad
L
W
D
W
W
Oviedo
L
W
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
Real Sociedad
Stat
Oviedo
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.4
#9
League Pos.
#20
31 pts
Points
16 pts
1.29
Points / Game
0.7
-1
Goal Diff.
-23
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
1 W
Real Sociedad
Draw
Oviedo
7
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
29 | 24 | 1 | 4 | +50 | 73 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
29 | 22 | 3 | 4 | +37 | 69 |
| 3 |
Villarreal
|
29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | +20 | 58 |
| 4 |
Atletico Madrid
|
29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | +21 | 57 |
| 5 |
Real Betis
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | +7 | 44 |
| 6 |
Celta Vigo
|
29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 41 |
| 7 |
Real Sociedad
H
|
29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -6 | 38 |
| 9 |
Athletic Club
|
29 | 11 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 |
Espanyol
|
29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | -8 | 37 |
| 12 |
Valencia
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 |
Alaves
|
29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | -8 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -13 | 28 |
| 19 |
Levante
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -14 | 26 |
| 20 |
Oviedo
A
|
29 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -28 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.