Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Primera División RFEF - Group 2 March 11, 2026
Real Murcia

Real Murcia

11
FT
Marbella

Marbella

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Real Murcia
Rank#16
Played26
Points32
PPG1.23
Goal Diff-2
L D L L D
Marbella
20#Rank
26Played
21Points
0.81PPG
-15Goal Diff
L L W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.8%
6.31
1-1
12.3%
8.1
0-0
11.3%
8.86
2-0
11.1%
9.0
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.45
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Real Murcia 49% · 2.04
Draw 34% · 2.9
Marbella 17% · 6.06
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.69 Under 63% · 1.59
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
64%
36%
Over 64% · 1.56 Under 36% · 2.78
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.67 Under 82% · 1.21

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Murcia Real Murcia
L D L L D
Marbella Marbella
L L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Real Murcia
Stat
Marbella
1.4
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.78
#16
League Pos.
#20
32 pts
Points
21 pts
1.23
Points / Game
0.81
-2
Goal Diff.
-15

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sabadell Sabadell
28 13 12 3 +21 51
2
Atlético Madrid II Atlético Madrid II
28 13 9 6 +15 48
3
Europa Fc Europa Fc
28 12 11 5 +13 47
4
Eldense Eldense
28 12 11 5 +10 47
5
Teruel Teruel
28 11 9 8 +0 42
6
Villarreal II Villarreal II
28 10 11 7 +12 41
7
Antequera Antequera
28 11 8 9 +2 41
8
Hércules Hércules
28 10 10 8 +2 40
9
FC Cartagena FC Cartagena
28 10 10 8 -1 40
10
Ibiza Ibiza
28 10 8 10 +5 38
11
Algeciras Algeciras
28 10 8 10 -1 38
12
Alcorcon Alcorcon
28 8 13 7 +1 37
13
Juventud Torremolinos Juventud Torremolinos
28 8 12 8 -1 36
14
Tarazona Tarazona
28 8 10 10 -6 34
15
Gimnastic Gimnastic
28 9 7 12 -7 34
16
Real Murcia Real Murcia H
28 8 9 11 -4 33
17
Sanluqueño Sanluqueño
28 7 6 15 -16 27
18
Marbella Marbella A
28 6 7 15 -14 25
19
Real Betis II Real Betis II
28 6 7 15 -17 25
20
Sevilla Atletico Sevilla Atletico
28 4 10 14 -14 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record