UEFA Champions League
January 20, 2026
Real Madrid
6–1
FT
Monaco
We predicted
Real Madrid 4+
29% confidence
View full match details
Tuesday, January 20 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Real Madrid 4+
|
Actual
6–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Real Madrid 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
29%
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
17.4%
2-1
9.8%
10.24
1-1
8.8%
11.35
2-0
8.2%
12.15
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.62
NO
38% · 2.62
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid
60% · 1.66
Draw
20% · 5.01
Monaco
20% · 5.09
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.93
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
85%
Over 85% · 1.17
Under 15% · 6.78
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
44%
56%
Over 44% · 2.28
Under 56% · 1.78
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Key Stats Comparison
Real Madrid
Stat
Monaco
2.22
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Real Madrid
Draw
Monaco
7
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +19 | 24 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 21 |
| 3 |
Liverpool
|
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +12 | 18 |
| 4 |
Tottenham
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 6 |
Chelsea
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 16 |
| 9 |
Real Madrid
H
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 15 |
| 10 |
Inter
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +8 | 15 |
| 11 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 14 |
| 13 |
Juventus
|
8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 13 |
| 14 |
Atletico Madrid
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 15 |
Atalanta
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +0 | 13 |
| 16 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 12 |
| 17 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 18 |
Olympiakos Piraeus
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 |
Club Brugge KV
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 20 |
Galatasaray
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 10 |
| 21 |
Monaco
A
|
8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -6 | 10 |
| 22 |
Qarabag
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
| 24 |
Benfica
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 |
Marseille
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 9 |
| 26 |
Pafos
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 27 |
Union St. Gilloise
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -9 | 9 |
| 28 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +0 | 8 |
| 29 |
Athletic Club
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 8 |
| 30 |
Napoli
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 8 |
| 31 |
FC Copenhagen
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 8 |
| 32 |
Ajax
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -13 | 6 |
| 33 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 34 |
Slavia Praha
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 3 |
| 35 |
Villarreal
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -13 | 1 |
| 36 |
Kairat Almaty
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -15 | 1 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.