UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League February 25, 2026
Real Madrid

Real Madrid

21
FT
Benfica

Benfica

We predicted

Real Madrid 4+ 28% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, February 25 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Real Madrid 4+
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 28%
Team Context
Real Madrid
Rank#9
Played8
Points15
PPG1.88
Goal Diff9
L W L W L
Benfica
24#Rank
8Played
9Points
1.13PPG
-2Goal Diff
W L W W L
Most Likely Scores
Real Madrid 4+
12.0%
1-0
10.7%
9.31
1-1
10.5%
9.51
2-0
10.2%
9.83
Both Teams To Score
YES 53% · 1.89
NO 47% · 2.13
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Real Madrid 59% · 1.71
Draw 22% · 4.5
Benfica 19% · 5.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.83 Under 45% · 2.2
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
78%
22%
Over 78% · 1.28 Under 22% · 4.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.1 Under 68% · 1.48

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Real Madrid Real Madrid
L W L W L
Benfica Benfica
W L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Real Madrid
Stat
Benfica
1.89
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#9
League Pos.
#24
15 pts
Points
9 pts
1.88
Points / Game
1.13
+9
Goal Diff.
-2

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record